The dream began in 2005, when construction and development of real estate was opened up to foreign investors. Nearly 130 global firms rushed in to invest in
the India growth story. Liberalization triggered the advent of furious
fund-raising activity as fund managers neatly packaged and sold the Indian real
estate story many times over.
Today not more than 15 of the global funds are standing, while the remaining have shut shop by selling their equity to domestic PE funds or through share buybacks to the developer, that too at losses. “The global funds entered
at a high point but exited at a lowpoint with zero or low returns. PEs could
either choose to salvage their capital and exit or stay married to the project
and wait for the tide to turn in due course,” says Anirudh Wahal, director at
property consulting firm DTZ.
India-focused private equity funds raised around $50 billion, primarily during 2005 and 2007, of which $15 billion alone was through real estate funds. Four years later, the firms have not even raised a sixth of that amount as investors, globally, are wary of the India shining story.PE deals have dipped 15 percent this quarter. Data provided by Venture Intelligence reveals that in 2011 there were
87 real estate investment deals while in 2012, it stands at merely 37.
In one of the largest deals in 2012, MSREI invested $90 million in a Mumbai
project of Sheth Developers. In another large dea, Xander Group invested about
$40 million in a Chennai software park. But such deals have been few as capital
is scarce and fund managers are cautious. And why shouldn’t they be?
“Too much capital in risky and speculative assets, plus lack of appropriate data and proper regulation resulted in many hedge funds and global funds shutting shop,” says Kotak’s Hari. He argues that mispricing, missallocation and misalignment were the three biggest reasons why
realty-focussed PE funds failed to deliver returns.
Secondly, the biggest change in strategy has been the move to project-based funding rather than funds buying stake in unlisted developers only to cash out when
these firms hit the markets. Attempts by Raheja Universal and Lodha
Developers to go public were upset by poor stock market response, making PE
funds unsure of exit opportunities. Founders of companies, who are eager
to accept private equity funding, either decide that they don’t want to go
public, or that they want to reinvest their money and delay the private equity
investor’s exit,” Hari explained to Firstpost.
Today, the biggest lesson that private equity fund managers have learnt is to tread cautiously and only invest in residential projects in city centres built by
reputable mid-sized developers in top metros where key approvals are already in
place. This is because as an asset class, the residential sector promises
better return on investment. Residential projects will always be in
demand, whether it is investors or genuine buyers. The same does not hold true
for commercial realty, as evident from the 30-40 percent fall in retail rentals
from peaks in 2008. “Against the drop in lease rentals have property prices
fallen in Mumbai, Delhi or Bangalore? asks Rohokale.
Also, real estate is local, and so is investment. Pan-India expansion plans of developers like DLF, Unitech and Indiabull Real Estate were undermined by
highly leveraged balance sheets, high borrowing costs and slower execution. “We
would rather pump in money into regional developers rather than getting an
established player like DLF or Godrej to develop a property in Ahmedabad, where
he has no expertise,” says Rahokale of Ask Properties.
Ask Properties has invested Rs 100 crore in a housing project of Shriram Properties at Bangalore and is looking to invest more funds in NCR and Mumbai
markets. “The key to success is investing in core residential areas within city and suburban limits and partnering with prudently managed developers. In Mumbai Vashi and Thane are profitable, but Dombivili is not,” says Rahokale. He, however, cautioned that unlike in the past no fund manager would bet on property without ensuring that the investment is protected through a principal and return.
Source :Firstpost.com
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